Three Arsenal matches end 5-4 in two months. What are the chances?

What are the chances of Arsenal losing 4-5 twice in the space of two months, while also, between these games winning another league match 5-4?

It is pretty rare and if you are a betting supporter you might want to try and find something a little more likely to bet on.  In which case of course you could try

As for the details of when the 5-4 results all did happen within a two month period, take a look at 1958 in the list of anniversaries below.  It is also the anniversary of the day on which Jens Lehmann, the only man to play every match of the unbeaten season, returned to the club with still giving us full details on how these happened.

29 March 1913: Only once during the entire league season did Arsenal score more than one goal in a game – in a 2-5 home defeat to Sheffield Wednesday on 29 March.

29 March 1918: Good Friday, the start of the regular run of three football matches in four days.  Arsenal lost at West Ham on this day, 1-4, with 10,500 in the crowd.

29 March 1919: Clem Voysey played his first match listed as “Newman” on the team sheet in a pre-season friendly.  Later in his career there were two investigations into his contractual arrangements at Arsenal and the club was found guilty of paying a “signing on” fee.

29 March 1930: Arsenal 4 Blackburn 0.  In the nine remaining league games after this Arsenal had only one win – although the fact that Arsenal were in the Cup Final for the second time undoubtedly influenced everyone’s approach to the games.

29 March 1937: Stoke 0 Arsenal 0 made it two 0-0 draws and two 1-1 draws in the last four games and seven draws and three wins in last 10.  Arsenal were still top but eventually came third in the league following an end of season burst by Man City who won the title.  The following season Man City were relegated. It was the first game for Arthur Biggs.

29 March 1954: Arsenal beat Chelsea in the London Challenge Cup to win the trophy for the sixth time.  The competition, which Arsenal had first entered in 1908 continued until 1974.

29 March 1958: Portsmouth 5 Arsenal 4.  It was the second time in two months that Arsenal lost 4-5.  In between these two games Arsenal also beat Chelsea 5-4. Bloomfield, Clapton and Nutt scored, along with an own goal.

29 March 1973: Marc Overmars was born in Emst, Holland.  He started 91 league games and came on nine times as a sub for Arsenal, scoring 25 league goals, before moving on to Barcelona.

29 March 1975: Last game for Bob McNab in a 1-1 draw with Stoke.  It was also the first game for Stapleton who went on to play 225 league games for Arsenal.  Kelly got the goal, with 26,852 in the crowd.

29 March 1986: After one defeat in 11 hopes were high for this game, but it ended Tottenham 1 Arsenal 0.  It was the start of three successive defeats in which Arsenal failed to score a single goal.

29 March 1994: PSG 1 Arsenal 1 Cup Winners Cup semi-final 1st leg.  After beating Standard Liege 7-0 Arsenal had played five CWC games this season and scored just four goals.

29 March 2006: After Arsenal beat Juventus in the Champions League the Daily Mirror ran the headline, “Absolutely Fabregas”

29 March 2011: Having unexpectedly re-signed as emergency cover Jens Lehmann played for the reserves against Wigan.  Arsenal lost 1-2.

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